Posts Tagged ‘review’

Return to Festival Races

Day Four March 19th – Y’know what’s going to happen here? The@itv7 will go down at Lingfield – so best do the placepot as a saver. Oh well! All or nothing, as usual, I’ve either had a bad one, certainly a learning one, or…

I was due a bad one but we’ll be better prepared for next year for sure… GL 

PS: For those like me who’ve forgotten, handicaps is where we used to excel..

Leg1 – 1.20 – Quilixios – EW fun Adagio

Leg2 – 1:35 L-aw – Zwelela – 

Leg3 – 1.55 – Eclair De Beaufeu – EW Petit Mouchoir & Mengli Khan, more serious than ‘fun’ them!

Leg4 – 2.30 – Alaphilippe EW

Leg5 – 3.05 – Frodon EW has to be to produce a lsp on the day?

Leg6 – 3.40 – Stalker Wallace – 

Leg7 – 4.15 – Shattered Love – 

Other Races:- Other races: 4.50 Eglantine Du Seuil EW – If desperate Leoncavallo & Adjali EW fun – GL

& CDG’s

FRIDAY 19th MARCH

TRIUMPH HURDLE

1.20: Just using days since last ran & rpr’s – I got this down to Quilixios really with a nb Adagio…. If Goshen had stood up last year favourites would be safely in the black. Tritonic may swing the balance back but recent trends suggest a ‘fresh 28+ days from Leopardstown is more likely… Ah! While I is usually at loggerheads with the Racing Posts TopSpeed – the case is even more so when it comes to Irish racing, there does seem a bit of discrepancy between the UK & Ireland, so much so that basically, in Ireland you’re lucky to even get a speed figure so like as below if you should ever see an emboldened topspeed for an Irish runner as Quilixios here. It can often prove significant…. & then, looking at the race record of Henry de Bromhead [0-1-1 100% placed] compared to W Mullins [1-5-22 2/6 37% placed] – augurs well for Quilixios too….

COUNTY HURDLE

1.55: – Fascinating contest – what with Petit Mouchoir carrying top weight with young Jordan Gainford taking off 7lb, oh & there’s a system, topweight / topspeed? 26’s – Tops the TS #cdg but then there’s Mengli Khan up there too & oh my Eclair De Beaufeu, rpr #cdg interesting battle of the figs & he’s only 8’s & I can’t believe we have a 6lb clear top-rated rpr in Darasso, trainer saying he needs & his cdg’s suggest as much ‘soft ? 40/s

[Just had a look at the #cdg’s & Darasso, who is amongst the players is a 4lb clear top rpr – is 20/s & will do for norway this stage: March 8th] 11 days l8r & he’s 40/s ? 

ALBERT BARTLETT NOVICES’ HURDLE

2.30: Did like Stattler but turns out a bit one paced at the finish whereas, if Paddy’s right about the ground: I like Spotlight’s comment about Alaphilippe “but assured stamina and a will to win are big selling points.” seems a tad inherent in most of the Class Of Sadler’s Wells –

CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP

3.05.: Favourite and dual winner Al Boum Photo solid but my notes remind me of 2010 winner, Imperial Commander with A Plus Tard 10/s EW end of January…. In the end there’s no alternative but to go EW Santini, been a price crash on APT & a visor added, might just do it..
Nah! Looking at the topspeed #cdg, I gotta go Frodon, horses for courses n all that… 

FOXHUNTER CHASE

3.40: I’m going to plump for Stalker Wallace, now that he’s a 10yo a fair EW price & within range on the figures, just!

MRS PADDY POWER MARES’ CHASE

4.15: – when in doubt – the only CD & perhaps with a jockey doing alright tavm & massive #cdg of course – Shattered Love, easy…

MARTIN PIPE HANDICAP HURDLE

4.50: Nope: the Irish again & fine performance here by Galopin Des Champs on his h’cap debut debut after a 6th behind Appreciate It last time: Video here

“Hopefully by now the Irish will have taken all the big money and leave us some scraps in this lowly C2 – – Another fascinating contest – I could sit here all day n reminisce, if i hadn’t got myself on a stopwatch with deadlines to meet… 
So a fancy for the Coral Cup, Eglantine Du Seuil turns up here & as #cdg topspeed 5lb clear and while trainer Paul Nicholls is saying she got a lot of weight – they seem to do OK here, he has a 2-3-19 fair record in race & 7yo’s do OK too. J P O’Brien 1-1-4 in the race but neither of his 2 have any course experience unlike lesser race usuals in Pipe Leoncavallo 25/s & Henderson’s Adjali 33/s

Last Year:

Friday 13th – Just the Gold Cup & massive Nap landed!

Last Year:

Friday 13th – Just the Gold Cup & massive Nap landed!


1.30 Triumph – The video: A non-event in terms of time, if he’d have stood up he would not have achieved a bigger figure than he already had – Big Solo fan? Will trainer leave Sir Psycho in to ensure a true test? Yes! Hard to argue with RP’s Spotlight verdict, think the race will be set up for a differently ridden Goshen & under-rated Solo lol

Image
Gold Cup, probs more than hopeful, A Plus Tard

My workings page for Day4

Somehow I managed to miss The Opening Show, it was on I think but I didn’t notice it, twitter again? Like it mattered, we didn’t have the winner but Miss Heritage fared better than their:

Image

So anyway, the winner, Langer Dan, it was said didn’t have a hard race so might stand a chance next if he gets in & we know that bc even the fillies’ bumper was faster:

It wasn’t even a tip, just an observation: [tbh, have had a good week making use of this site, the statistics page over at Irish Racing but could another angle?]

And didn’t just win, ran faster than the Imperial Cup which has not happened since Call Me Star 2012 who ended up around the 137 mark, this Flirtatious Girl better than that too: and while winner’s of this race don’t often do much it would seem, we did have two of our Sadler’s Wells inbreds in 3rd Tweed Skirt on only her 2nd start & Step To The Top, whose 6th career resulted in worst positioning to date, actually achieved a personal best.

So, I’m designating this as a #Race2Follow and install another another angle of a page to the site – yah!

‘Time of & Figure of the meet’ was shared by these two for the tracker & noted as Ones to Follow when the mud is flying:

& that was a revealing in that a lightly raced for age well h’capped kind of run from Debece in the 3 miler :

Standard for our times? You’d think in this day and age

‘If I just keep typing, it’ll save my head from the scratching?’

Jan 30th 2021 – The Skybet Chase:

A Timeform Rating 151 but Time Figure 117 & I left Cap Du Nord in as he broke a track record on his last run – hardly slouches?

Timeform’s feature
RP’s winning times

Shishkin 17lb better rpr but 48lb better of the next chase on the clock? Beat the clock says Simon Rowlands:

February 15th 2021 Warwick Castle Chase Day:

A Timeform Rating 152 and Time Figure 143, arguably better than Takingrisks ?

Timeform’s feature

and the clock says:

Warwick’s Times

Allmankind 7lb better rpr but 49lb better on the clock?

So, aside from rendering all the other figures in the ‘TS’ column, ‘useless,’ – [besides measuring pounds between?] I mean, where do they fit on the official scale? Here we have two horses running 50lb clear of their respective cards.

According to speed figure maestro, Andrew Beyer, we should be able rate a meeting about one or two reliable benchmark horses: saying Sky Pirate a solid 150, 165 about Allmankind, seems fair enough but at this stage, I think Eldorado Allen, 9l’s 2nd to Shishkin, leaves him still well handicapped off an official 149.