Posts Tagged ‘Ascot’

A work in progress – will be updating as we go:

Other Races:- 

Day One: Racing Post Card: The google doc with link to previous winner spreadsheet here:

2.30 – 

3.05 – Coventry – Gisburn, looking an upto standard winner! But Dhabab, trnr4R & stats best for just the one run. & Cadamosto sneaks in ahead of Go Bears Go as minimum rpr 75%+ required – & top boy Frankie Dettori gets to ride just below required Tolstoy

3.40 – King’s Stand Stakes – I’ve tipped it, so Winter Power & been money to 5/s from 7/s since, might have to find an EW play? 

4.20 – 

5.00 – Ascot Stakes C2 (0- +12 East Asia, +11 To Be Wild, +9 Let Me Be, Postileo, +8 Trumpet Man, Smart Champion, 

5.35 – 

6.10 – Copper Horse H’cap C2 – +12 East Asia, +10 Taqareer, Prince Alex, +9 Nuits St George, Sleeping Lion, Rajinsky, +8 Viaduct, +7 Arthurian Fable, Lostwithiel, Cardano, Stargazer,    

Other Races:-

Image

20/21 NH Early Season Round Up

Posted: December 25, 2020 in Uncategorized
Tags: ,

Probably just a dumping for future reference but some notes from last weekend’s racing. That little handicapper list is more complete but I got previews to be getting on with so this will have to do for now…

Well handicapped after revised ratings on speed figures & probably for the Notebook & or Trackers:                                             
Amour De Nuit (Ire)
Beyond The Clouds
Buzz (Fr)
Canelo (Ire)
Cap Du Nord (Fr)
Champagne Court (Ire)
Eldorado Allen (Fr)
Elusive Belle (Ire)
Eritage (Fr)
Flash The Steel (Ire)
Highest Sun (Fr)
Hill Sixteen
Huntsman Son (Ire)
Kingswell Theatre
Le Patriote (Fr)
Lil Rockerfeller (USA)
Mellow Ben (Ire)
One For The Team
Ramses De Teillee (Fr)
Two For Gold (Ire)
Yala Enki (Fr)
Ante-Post:
Song For Someone: Champion Hurdle EW out to 30’s atm
Kevin Blake might like to address the state of the hurdling division, I think it’s been seen to: surely, this fella and Saint Roi, to name but two, that could give last year’s champ something to think about?
Lil’ Rockefeller: Stayers’ Hurdle EW – H’mm, not in betting so, while I thought last time behind Hill Sixteen, only a few lb shy of his 2017 33/1 Stayers’ Hurdle, 2nd, & makes h’cap list 

Tommy Whittle day at Haydock & Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot

 the preview: Here:

1.50 – Bennys King – +20 clear top cdg – Duly obliges with a dominant display :

2.05 Haydock – Our Power – A bit disappointing but Cheddleton in the C3 Novice Chase clocked a decent time and gave weight and a 6l’s hiding to as Sean Quinlan says: ‘Is a 160 horse,’ about the 2nd Cornerstone Lad. He earned a 155 from me & the rpr. 

2.15 Newcastle – Another Theatre – rpr & claim – 

2.25 – Thyme Hill – still improving – Roksana a weak cdg once the NR’s taken out – topspeed figure goes to Younevercall worth a small EW @ 29/s…. He finished 4th but what a finish and Paisley Park does it, late.. And really the slow time tells us that they couldn’t have gone quick enough early to blunt the winners finishing kick. 

Not a happy Dickie

2.40 Haydock Tommy Whittle H’cap Chase – Lord Napier – cdg figs* – Disappointing & was the slowest chase on card.

The winner’s trainer, Brain Ellison, featured:

In Timeform’s WHICH TRAINERS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE BEST JUMPERS?

Sam’s Adventure after the race:

Ben Aitken, in his What We Learned From Weekend Post, says the favourite, Hill Sixteen, was let down by his breeding in that his sire, Court Cave (Ire), when it comes to 3 miles plus with ‘heavy, in the going, chances much diminished… 

I been collecting these little angles for some time – 

3.00 – Flying Angel & Quarenta – 

3.35 – Malaya – cdg figs & H*, – & Oakley 22/s pos EW

Amazing! 20/1 about back to back winner Not So Sleepy – 4th top on the figures but 

John Ingles rounds up the major changes to the Timeform ratings from Ascot and Haydock: 

Very much in agreement with this as the 2nd, Buzz, clocked ‘figure of the meet’ as a hurdler and while his trainer used his new young conditionals’ ‘Joe Anderson’ 10lb claim for another winner earlier in the week – will he get a chance to use to good effect on Buzz, I wonder?

“Runner-up Buzz (h150p) looks a must for the Betfair Hurdle shortlist after shaping well under a ride that asked a lot of him, while Lightly Squeeze (h137 from h134) ran well in third after a wind op, he too no doubt on course for the Betfair Hurdle, in which he fell when holding every chance last season.”

Good thread with vids:

Other Races – 

Friday at Ascot – Nice chase debut from Allart [5th in Supreme] yes but storming time from the hurdlers in the Supreme Trial given 143 rpr & 136+ from Timeform, the winner, My Drogo 20/s Supreme Novices’ earnt a 153p from me allowing the 2nd & already a fast-time scorer, Llandinabo Lad a figure of the meet accolade of 155e.  

It just keeps getting better as I putting Friday’s extension together:

Lol, so while I’ve been avidly noting Sadler’s Wells(USA) inbreds and adding to a spreadsheet – no fewer than three of his predecessors’ as Sire in Chief – Northern Dancer(Can) had a field day at this meet. The fact that the 11yo Regal Encore(ire), has been and done it here before – gives hope to his younger, proteges, 1st and last race winners, Flowing Cadenza and Not So Sleepy, that they too could follow in his hoofprints. 

Probably the most interesting thing from this meeting is the Timeform Time Figure alloted to The World’s End of 107 because they adhere very closely to the Official handicap scale. I have no access to the rest of the card according to Timeform Time Figures but I would be very interested in seeing what they gave to Nor So Sleepy – because according to the Racing Post’s standards – Not So Sleepy ran 58lb better than that ‘107’

‘Where’s the ceiling?’ ‘Leaving a ‘stone’ in the bank?’ Who on earth will understand?

I initially gave Not So Sleepy 152p, then upped to 154p within the RP site but that 107 & 58lb – read alongside the comments below, I may well have left ‘10lb to a stone in the bank?’

154 suggests the 4th home Turnpike Trip ran to within a pound of the figure I gave him last time in his native Ireland and that Monsieur Lecoq(Fr) ran a well clear Figure Of the Meet, with or without his jockey claim – I’ll have to go and #RacetoFollow this one…..

1.15 – Always a decent chase and the form looks sound. Another big step forward from the impressive winner.
RIDERS ONTHE STORM put this to bed in fine style and is clearly a fast-improving chaser. He came in after an admin error forced him to sit out the Caspian Caviar at Cheltenham a week earlier. The 6yo’s jumping was particularly impressive and it’s not hard to see why he’s the apple of Nigel Twiston-Davies’ eye. The Ryanair in March is the big target, for which he’s a best price 16-1.On The Blind Side couldn’t live with the winner after the second-last and probably did bump into one here. It puts him back on track, although he’s not simple to place.Paloma Blue failed to raise his game and seemed to find this too testing.Adrien Du Pont likes it here and is very useful on his day, although doesn’t want the ground this deep. [David Orton]QUOTES: The Ryanair is definitely on the agenda for RIDERS ONTHE STORM. He may come back here for the Ascot Chase in February. He’s looking like a very cheap buy and is our most exciting horse. He settled well and jumped his way to the front. He doesn’t quite settle enough to go further yet but he will do. It’s really exciting and he wasn’t stopping at all at the line. His jumping was superb – Nigel Twiston-Davies, trainer.

3.35 – Add 16yds. A cracking prize. Predictably there was a solid gallop on and it proved one-way traffic. The winner closed in on the level expected from his Flat form.
NOT SO SLEEPY was still attractively treated on Flat form despite a 5lb higher mark and the classy 7yo took this apart with another outstanding effort from the front. He needs to dominate, but wasn’t quite as headstrong this time, getting in a breather around three out. That proved crucial, but handicaps like this are rarely won with such ease and he has to be a huge player for the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury now.Monsieur Lecoq was turning out quickly again and gave the winner 23lb back in a handicap. He had his ground, did well to run on for second after being hampered and rates a rock-solid benchmark.Sir Valentine tanked along under a patient ride and turned in a respectable effort. The 6yo should learn from the experience and has kicked off in handicaps on a workable mark.Turnpike Trip, fourth in the Royal Bond 20 days earlier, looked a big player turning in. He lacked a change of gear nearing two out, however, and looks worthy of a step up in trip.Whoshotthesheriff, back down in distance, flattened out in between the last two flights and likely paid for a wide trip. He’s not one to give up on.Quoi De Neuf, popular in the ante-post market, had still to be asked any sort of question when brought down. [David Orton]QUOTES: I thought NOT SO SLEEPY was going well turning the bend so off he went and trounced them. He jumped fantastically at Henrietta Knight’s last week but struggled a bit early in the race because of the ground. It’s up to the horse how fast he goes and he wasn’t silly. He won it really well and moved beautifully across the ground. He won the Dee Stakes on bottomless ground in 2015 and I suspect this was deeper. We won this race 18 years ago with Marble Arch who disappointed at Newbury and then came second in the Champion Hurdle so you can only but dream that’s the ultimate objective. He didn’t carry a lot of weight but he won with a stone in hand. Why not look forward? He’s eight so there’s no point messing around with novices and handicap hurdles – Hughie Morrison, trainer.

1.50 – This looked highly competitive on paper, but the winner proved far too good. The third sets a decent level.
ESPOIR DE GUYE made a mockery of his 9lb hike for landing the odds at Exeter 15 days earlier and provided his red-hot stable with another winner. The young chaser is firmly on an upward curve and looks just the type for the novice handicap on the opening day of the Cheltenham festival in March, although soft ground could be important to his cause.My Way did all his best work from the second-last on this drop back in trip and there’s no doubt a fair pot in him back over a stiffer test.First Flow proved a sitting duck for the highly progressive winner but wasn’t at all disgraced on this quick return. The consistent 7yo again shaped as though reverting to a left-handed circuit might prove ideal.Cap Du Nord was never a serious player, but ideally needs a sounder surface. [David Orton]QUOTES: ESPOIR DE GUYE has the action for the ground. This was a step up from what he had done before. Having a look where to go next will be exciting – Venetia Williams, trainer.

Weekend Racing Review November 1st-4th 2019
Continued: Part Two

This could just be a subliminal tip for Present Man at Wincanton this weekend. It has taken me an age, a week, scratching my head trying to decide or suss out how best to ‘present’ – I don’t really want a 12-page piece and have decided to just insert links to winning names of relevant races.

Sunday – 

Carlisle interesting, Lostintranslation gets all the attention while the first two here, Two For Gold & I’m To Blame (Figure of the Meet) clock a decent time & the 3rd, Chapel Site – could be worth a go over further than the 20f’s of this, the 6th running of the Gordon Richards Chase, a race won by Mister Whitaker in 2017 before he went on to Festival glory later that season. 

Over at Cork, Brahma Bull stole the show on the figures registering his 7th win from 11 starts and somehow managing to be stable 3rd string?

Saturday – 

Ayr

Figure of the meet I gave him and could well be all weekend too but I’m having flashbacks of what I think was near enough Dr Richard Newland’s first winner in Overstrand back in 2006

After Leoncavallo ran 2nd to Elvis Mail in the Scottish Champion Hurdle Trial at Ayr last Saturday. Could be interesting if he puts a claimer on in his next few rides as he did with Overstrand back in the day…. Only been upped a pound for trying to give the winner 10 here.. 

Anarchy @ Ascot but a week on and Diego’s lost his charm and anyway, time of the meet went to and I thought he was having it, just seemed a Hobbs ‘plot job,’ Gumball. A personal best was run by each of the first three, with another ‘HOT’ 4yo, Red Force One in 2nd and Nordic Command in 3rd, I can see some winners coming from this race. Got to mention poor Lisp ’Figure of the Meet’ giving weight all round under ‘11 12, while probably hard to place in a handicap I wonder if he could make Graded class?

At Wetherby,  while Lady Buttons [Pictured:

Another lovely Michael Harris photo:

duly did the business and clocked the fastest time and earned a 10 year best for race rpr, there were a couple of French imports making their UK debuts worth making a note of for when they lower their sights perhaps in the eventual 3rd, Vision Du Puy and Zambella, who helped set the honest pace. However, I was quite taken with the winner of the following C3 hurdle after realising that the winner, Proschema, had posted a time very comparable to 2017 winner Kalashnikov, who has won 5 of his 11 starts since including a Gr1 Novice chase at Aintree earlier this year. 

Down Royal Saturday Nov 2nd – 

A Wave To The Sea

0.20coc / XoM I know it was the first race on the card and the ground can gradually slow down when it’s soft but this still augurs well imho

Friday Nov 1st

Down RoyalDaylight Katie and 2nd, Jeremys Flame (I do like offspring Jeremy(USA) in this sphere) stole the show on the figures:

And Samcro, the headlines – I was quite taken with the third Lotto Numbers – he’s got a half brother to a Gold Cup horse, Myth Buster, 8l’s behind and a potential 170 rated 20l’s in front. This was only his career 4th start and could come out of this well handicapped imho:

Over at Uttoxeter Summerville Boy Wind Opp’d first time, like Sancro above, let us know that he’s back while the 2nd First Flow worthy of note too. Winner gained 2nd highest rpr of the race’s running 5lb below Phillip Hobbs’ Garde La Victoire (beat Bristol De Mai no less) who fell when favourite for Festival JLT Novice.  

At Wetherby the time race was won by Fransham but Figure of the Meet went to the Dan Skelton trained 4yo Flegmatik

Last Group One of the flat season switched to Newcastle’s AW track & what a show Kameko produced and easily looks a place prospect for the 2,00 Guineas at least: 

What grand servant to the game and connections, dear old ‘lol’ Ropey Guest has already been – surpassed all previous at Newmarket beaten only half a length in another Group 3 and the winner, Kenzia Warrior produced a way fast time – if it should come up heavy next spring he may well be of interest in a trial.

Finally back to Saturday @ Newmarket:

And when was the last time a juvenile 2yo won a Listed race first time out? William Haggas’ Born With Pride has to be one for the Notebook and trackers. One name springs to mind and he went and won the Derby next time out: Lammtarra tarra!