Cheltenham Festival 2021 Day One (P)Review

Posted: March 15, 2021 in Big Race Pointers, Previews, Reviews, Uncategorized
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Somewhere between between twitter, facebook, reduced fields, I mean, smallest Supreme field since? The covid, the government, oh no! On with the show.. Usually, unless I hit the winner of the Coral Cup, the first two days can be pretty meagre for me, so I not going overboard with much betting…

Day One March 16th – The @itv7 with some fun bet suggestions, might do decent price EW Yankee:

Leg1 – 1.20 – Metier – EW fun Grumpy Charley – 

Leg2 – 1.55 – Shishkin / EW fun Eldorado Allen – 

Leg3 – 2.30 – Pym – EW yankee fun Vintage Clouds – 

Leg4 – 2.55 Sedge – Follow Your Fire

Leg5 – 3.05 – Epatante – EW fun James Du Berlais

Leg6 – 3.40 – Indefatigable EW & fun yankee

Leg7 – 4.15 – Nassalam EW & EW yankee fun Elham Valley

Other Races:- 4.50 Nestor Park EW yankee fun

& CDG’s

TUESDAY 16th MARCHSUPREME NOVICES’ HURDLE 1.20: Metier, I think bc
Weds before meet & ground is changed to ‘gd – so with this race now very little to go on regarding figures – it’s been thrown to the void a bit you might think:
Well, I could be wrong but just looking at the last few winners:& the case against Appreciate It: 
OK, he is my top rated by 1lb & 2 by the rpr – he is 8lb below top according to the RP’s TopSpeed but fav’s got 80% chance of losing, 80% chance the winner will trace its lineage to Sadler’s Wells which 4 of the next 5 in betting do – more than 80% chance a 7yo won’t win

ARKLE CHALLENGE TROPHY 1:55: Can’t really see beyond Shishkin: Who knows? If it is ‘soft tmoz, my 40/1 Eldorado Allen is 0/5 but is a close 3rd on the #cdg’s?

Down to 6 runners and I can’t help thinking Eldorado Allen at 40/s is too big? It’s possible the race came too soon when beaten by Allmankind – being his 3rd race in quick succession last fall. It was hard to put a ceiling on Shishkin’s last run and I think Eldorado Allen is well handicapped so the fact he’s come here could mean business? Just get the feeling if it’s as plain sailing that Allmankind sets it up for Shishkin, he might just not be the only one overtaking at the finish..

FESTIVAL HANDICAP CHASE 2.30: Happygolucky, solid – I did like The Wolf till seen sire stats & now prefer Pym & Vintage Clouds EW

CHAMPION HURDLE 3.05: Haves wung back to Epatante, JP pulled his other 2 entries out & she was a good winner last year. This race could well be a case of ‘always bet on potential except in the best of races’ and last years’ running remains the best form on show. Willie Mullins thinks James Du Berlais, on his French form & rating is 1st 4 material, could be an interesting EW fun bet at 29/s if anyone offering extra places?

DAVID NICHOLSON MARES’ HURDLE 3.40: Nothing wrong with Indefatigable again I think: 

BOODLES JUVENILE HURDLE 4.15: Nassalam dg figs 20/s like bar weight & makes me think Elham Valley may do better against him in a h’cap only 4lb between them so odds silly? EW shot 50/s – hardest race I looked at – this a majority race for a quick return to the track – would like to see Homme Public run well. 

NATIONAL HUNT CHASE 4.50: Trainer, Ben Pauling, has won the race before and quite bullish about the chances of Nestor Park EW fun

Last year: & the evicted: NOVICES’ HANDICAP CHASE 
Tuesday

Metier

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